Autonomous prediction market arbitrage

Kairos

Five AIs walk into a prediction market.
They disagree. The blockchain remembers.

An autonomous system where five large language models independently analyze prediction market price gaps, deliberate as a council, and record every decision on-chain — permanently.

Pipeline

How it works

01

Detect

Scan prediction markets for price gaps across platforms. When a spread exceeds threshold, the council convenes.

02

Deliberate

Five LLMs analyze the opportunity independently, then debate. Each brings a different lens — technical, speed, research, skepticism, judgment.

03

Decide

The Arbiter synthesizes all perspectives into a final verdict. The full deliberation — every argument, every dissent — is logged on-chain.

The Council

Five minds. One decision.

Each council member brings a distinct perspective. They analyze independently, then deliberate together.

🔬

Technician

Claude Sonnet 4.6

via Bankr

Technical Analysis

Reads the order book like a surgeon reads an X-ray

Sentinel

Gemini 3 Flash

via Bankr

Real-Time Intelligence

First to know, fastest to react

🔍

Detective

Gemini 3 Pro

via Bankr

Deep Research

Finds the story behind the spread

😈

Devil

GPT 5.4 Mini

via Bankr

Devil’s Advocate

Paid to say no

Private Inference
⚖️

Arbiter

DeepSeek v3.2

via Venice AI

Final Decision

The final word — deliberates in private

🔒

Private Inference via Venice AI

The Arbiter deliberates privately on Venice AI — reasoning never leaves their servers. No logs, no training on your data, no surveillance. Only the final verdict hits the chain.

DeepSeek v3.2 · Zero-knowledge inference · End-to-end privacy

Architecture

The pipeline

PRICE GAP DETECTOR

Polymarket ↔ Kalshi ↔ Others

spread > threshold

INDEPENDENT ANALYSIS

TECH
Sonnet 4.6
SENT
Gemini Flash
DETC
Gemini Pro
DEVL
GPT 5.4m
ARBT
DS v3.2
Venice AI
5 independent reports

COUNCIL DELIBERATION

Arguments → Rebuttals → Final Positions → Arbiter Synthesis

verdict + confidence

ON-CHAIN LOGGING

ERC-8004 · Full transcript · Vote breakdown · Timestamp

ERC-8004Deliberation Standard

Every decision. Every disagreement.
Permanent.

Kairos logs the full deliberation on-chain — not just the outcome, but every argument, every dissent, every confidence score. If an AI council makes a decision, you should be able to see exactly how they got there.

{
  "deliberationId": "0x7a3f...c891",
  "market": "US_ELECTION_2024",
  "spread": 0.047,
  "verdict": "BUY",
  "confidence": 0.82,
  "votes": {
    "for": ["Technician", "Sentinel", "Detective"],
    "against": ["Devil"],
    "synthesized": ["Arbiter"]
  },
  "timestamp": 1703894400,
  "txHash": "0x9b2e...f134"
}

On-Chain Record

Deliberation History

Reading from Base mainnet…